By the way, it is not just California. A lot of the states have even numbers of delegates in many of their districts.
The non-winner-take-all is a good idea. But having small, even numbers of delegates per district is not so smart.
Still, in all cases, just over one third of the Dem delegates are allocated statewide proportionally. So, in that tier, even small differences in the margins are consequential. (About one delegate for every 1.25% increment of the vote in California.)
On the other hand, Republican rules–winner-take-all and, in some states such as California, same number of delegates in every district–greatly overrepresent voters who happen to have mostly Democratic neighbors, and will give the bulk of the delegates even to a candidate with either well under half the votes, or with narrow margins over the runner-up in the district or state.
Comment by MSS — Tuesday, February 5, 2024 @ 12:05 pm
Yes–it will be most interesting to see what happens in some of the very Democratic districts in the GOP primary. In at least one LA area district, I think that the likely GOP voter pool is less than 10,000.
Comment by Dr. Steven Taylor — Tuesday, February 5, 2024 @ 12:24 pm
Live Blogging Super Tuesday
10:50 AM: Trolling the blogosphere, I spot Steven Taylor's always funny and insightful Toast-o-Meter's pre-Super Tuesday edition. 10:42 AM: Andrew Sullivan says that the parties rules on delegates reflect "the core traits of …
[...] Posted by Stephen Green on 05 Feb 2024 at 12:48 pm Ron Paul: Not even suitable for croutons. Bookmark: These icons link to social bookmarking sites where readers can share and discover new web pages. [...]
[...] Click [...]
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Pingback by Pros and Cons » The latest polling and related political gambits — Monday, February 4, 2024 @ 10:58 pm
[...] A MUST READ TODAY of all days. Political scientist Steven Taylor’s Toast-O-Meter. Who’s baking nicely…and who looks like toast? [...]
Pingback by Around The Campaign 2024 Sphere — Tuesday, February 5, 2024 @ 10:27 am
By the way, it is not just California. A lot of the states have even numbers of delegates in many of their districts.
The non-winner-take-all is a good idea. But having small, even numbers of delegates per district is not so smart.
Still, in all cases, just over one third of the Dem delegates are allocated statewide proportionally. So, in that tier, even small differences in the margins are consequential. (About one delegate for every 1.25% increment of the vote in California.)
On the other hand, Republican rules–winner-take-all and, in some states such as California, same number of delegates in every district–greatly overrepresent voters who happen to have mostly Democratic neighbors, and will give the bulk of the delegates even to a candidate with either well under half the votes, or with narrow margins over the runner-up in the district or state.
Comment by MSS — Tuesday, February 5, 2024 @ 12:05 pm
Yes–it will be most interesting to see what happens in some of the very Democratic districts in the GOP primary. In at least one LA area district, I think that the likely GOP voter pool is less than 10,000.
Comment by Dr. Steven Taylor — Tuesday, February 5, 2024 @ 12:24 pm
Live Blogging Super Tuesday
10:50 AM: Trolling the blogosphere, I spot Steven Taylor's always funny and insightful Toast-o-Meter's pre-Super Tuesday edition. 10:42 AM: Andrew Sullivan says that the parties rules on delegates reflect "the core traits of …
Trackback by StephenBainbridge.com — Tuesday, February 5, 2024 @ 1:03 pm
[...] Posted by Stephen Green on 05 Feb 2024 at 12:48 pm Ron Paul: Not even suitable for croutons. Bookmark: These icons link to social bookmarking sites where readers can share and discover new web pages. [...]
Pingback by Vodkapundit » The Toasty Truth — Tuesday, February 5, 2024 @ 1:48 pm
[...] Checking the Bread: Movement Since the Last ToM [...]
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