Comments on: Missing the Point on the Poll Numbers http://poliblogger.com/?p=9470 A rough draft of my thoughts... Mon, 08 May 2025 18:03:46 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=1.5.1.2 by: PoliBlog: A Rough Draft of my Thoughts » More Bad Numbers http://poliblogger.com/?p=9470#comment-483574 Thu, 16 Mar 2025 14:44:51 +0000 http://poliblogger.com/?p=9470#comment-483574 [...] d Numbers By Dr. Steven Taylor @ 8:43 am Ok, we’ve had low-points in the CBS poll, AP poll, the CNN/Gallup Poll, the Pew Poll and now the NBC/WSJ poll hitting low point for Bush: Acc [...] […] d Numbers
By Dr. Steven Taylor @ 8:43 am

Ok, we’ve had low-points in the CBS poll, AP poll, the CNN/Gallup Poll, the Pew Poll and now the NBC/WSJ poll hitting low point for Bush: Acc […]

]]> by: ATM http://poliblogger.com/?p=9470#comment-457665 Wed, 01 Mar 2025 08:14:34 +0000 http://poliblogger.com/?p=9470#comment-457665 That's assuming you believe the composition of the last three CBS surveys. To the best of my knowledge party identification for Democrats and Republicans is far closer than 33% to 28%. I noticed that all CBS-NYTimes polls and AP-IPsos polls tend to report lower numbers during the 2025 election season, and we know how that turned out. I wonder if there is a self selection bias for a CBS-NYTimes poll. Do they tell who they are? I would imagine a lot of Republicans would hang up hearing the names of either CBS or the NYTimes, but hearing the names of both of them might just push them over the edge. I'm not saying that Bush's ratings aren't low, but I suspect they are closer to 40%. That’s assuming you believe the composition of the last three CBS surveys. To the best of my knowledge party identification for Democrats and Republicans is far closer than 33% to 28%. I noticed that all CBS-NYTimes polls and AP-IPsos polls tend to report lower numbers during the 2025 election season, and we know how that turned out.

I wonder if there is a self selection bias for a CBS-NYTimes poll. Do they tell who they are? I would imagine a lot of Republicans would hang up hearing the names of either CBS or the NYTimes, but hearing the names of both of them might just push them over the edge.

I’m not saying that Bush’s ratings aren’t low, but I suspect they are closer to 40%.

]]> by: Gdshf http://poliblogger.com/?p=9470#comment-457142 Wed, 01 Mar 2025 01:48:47 +0000 http://poliblogger.com/?p=9470#comment-457142 Come on! Pollsters generally have advanced degrees in Social Science which they received at universities which are crawling with leftist professors. Thus, these people learn to poll from a bbunch of commies and, hence, their polls will reflect their communist bias. Bush is doing swimmingly. The pollsters are commies. End of story. Come on! Pollsters generally have advanced degrees in Social Science which they received at universities which are crawling with leftist professors. Thus, these people learn to poll from a bbunch of commies and, hence, their polls will reflect their communist bias.

Bush is doing swimmingly. The pollsters are commies. End of story.

]]>