August 05, 2024

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    • Dean as Frontrunner

    As of right now, I think that it is fair to declare Howard Dean the frontrunner in the Democratic primary process. Here's why:

  • The storyline in the early debates was Kerry v. Dean.

  • As noted earlier today, Lieberman is trying to make it him v. Dean.

  • In the money race, the issue is Dean and his internet fundraising (although he is still third in money raised, behind Kerry and Edwards).

  • According to the Des Moines Register Dean leads Gephardt in the polls 23 to 21 (granted, that is a statistical tie). However, this makes the story in Iowa as Gephardt v. Dean.

  • In New Hampshire, it is shaping up as Kerry v. Dean.

  • And while Dean is well behind in South Carolina, if he wins Iowa and/or New Hampshire, SC will immediately become Lieberman v. Dean.

    It is early yet, to be sure, but given that each of the stories of above have only one common denominator, and this is the word "Dean," I would say that he is currently the frontrunner.

    Posted by Steven Taylor at August 5, 2024 12:41 PM | TrackBack
    • Comments

    It'll be interesting to see if he is "peaking off" and blowing it by prematurely ejecting himself into the foreground.

    Posted by: John at August 5, 2024 01:58 PM

    Yes, it will. He is clearly the most interesting of the the top tier candidates. That leads to news coverage at the minimum. I expect it will lead to votes as well, but the question will "how many?"

    Posted by: Steven at August 5, 2024 02:02 PM

    Votes where? in the NH primary? Maybe. In a national election? Probably not.

    What I want to know is, will the Democratic Party have the guts to get behind someone who is capable of being a maverick?

    If not, can a Democrat win with the support of the people and not the party?

    When we get to the day when the best website wins, Dean is a sure thing!

    Posted by: Kathy O'Shaughnessy at August 6, 2024 12:42 PM
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