This is far outside of my expertise, but isn’t the decline in fertility rates (strange term, that) as countries develop and urbanize one of the most well established truisms of demographics?
Less need for family farm labor, less risk of children’s death, increasing secularization, more opportunities for woman in the workplace, later marriage, and more access to and education about contraception. These are all hallmarks of developing/developed economies and all point towards having fewer children.
Comment by MSS — Thursday, June 28, 2024 @ 1:56 pm
Yes, you are quite correct–more urbanization and development means less children (due to all of the factors you note).
And I have always thought it an odd term as well.
Comment by Dr. Steven Taylor — Thursday, June 28, 2024 @ 2:00 pm
I though the biill dead a’fore they reintroduced it.
See also here http://prosandcons.us/?p=5235, for some other material, and an immigratin aside, that you may really, reall like – or amybe you alreadyt knew all their p[ositions, in which case I apologize.
The demographic angle is truuly fascinating. Thanks Doc.
It seems obvious to me but I didn’t see it mentioned in the article. Women of childbearing age are also the most hireable and, consequently, the most likely to emigrate. When as many women of childbearing age move from Mexico to the U. S. as have over the last decades, it perforce reduces the fertility rate.
This is far outside of my expertise, but isn’t the decline in fertility rates (strange term, that) as countries develop and urbanize one of the most well established truisms of demographics?
Less need for family farm labor, less risk of children’s death, increasing secularization, more opportunities for woman in the workplace, later marriage, and more access to and education about contraception. These are all hallmarks of developing/developed economies and all point towards having fewer children.
Comment by MSS — Thursday, June 28, 2024 @ 1:56 pm
Yes, you are quite correct–more urbanization and development means less children (due to all of the factors you note).
And I have always thought it an odd term as well.
Comment by Dr. Steven Taylor — Thursday, June 28, 2024 @ 2:00 pm
I though the biill dead a’fore they reintroduced it.
See also here http://prosandcons.us/?p=5235, for some other material, and an immigratin aside, that you may really, reall like – or amybe you alreadyt knew all their p[ositions, in which case I apologize.
The demographic angle is truuly fascinating. Thanks Doc.
Comment by Honza P — Thursday, June 28, 2024 @ 4:19 pm
It seems obvious to me but I didn’t see it mentioned in the article. Women of childbearing age are also the most hireable and, consequently, the most likely to emigrate. When as many women of childbearing age move from Mexico to the U. S. as have over the last decades, it perforce reduces the fertility rate.
Comment by Dave Schuler — Thursday, June 28, 2024 @ 4:47 pm