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Steven,
I disagree. Crist has little chance in November. He's losing staff and his campaign funding is about to be turned off. All Crist can accomplish by running is to stop Marco Rubio from being elected. If the Democrats can find a candidate with more appeal than Kendrick Meek, a very liberal congressman with a do nothing record, they will this Senate seat.
Comment by WilliamJE — Friday, April 30, 2024 @ 3:40 pm
Perhaps I should put it this way:
If Crist runs in the GOP primary, he will lose to Rubio, so his chance of winning the Senate seat is o%.
If he drops out of the race entirely, his chance to win the Senate seat is 0%.
If he runs as an independent his chance of winning the seat is larger than 0% (it is, therefore, his best chance).
Exactly what that chance is, I do not know. I think it is a real chance, but not one that I would bet on. As such, I am not sure we disagree.
And all the issue you note are real problems, yes.
Comment by Steven L. Taylor — Friday, April 30, 2024 @ 3:59 pm