The Primaries
The tireless Steven Taylor (who desperately needs to hitch a ride out of the South) gives me no reason to write about elections today. He may have forgotten to note, however, that Joe Trippi is a crybaby….
Comment by Steven — Saturday, January 31, 2024 @ 12:38 pm
John Kerry: French non-Toast
Steven Taylor has your weekend edition of the Toast-O-Meter up and running, looking ahead to Tuesday’s seven-state primary.
Weekly Assessment Of The Democratic Candidates
Steven, of PoliBlog, has his weekly assessment of the seven dwarves is up. The most notable for me — being a Dean hater and all — is that he blew so much money trying to stay competitive in Iowa and…
http://cayankee.blogs.com/cayankee/2004/01/steven_taylor_h_1.html
Steven Taylor has posted The Toast-O-Meter (1/31/04 Edition), Steven’s weekly assessment of the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. As always it is entertaining and worth your time.
“Considering that Gephardt withdrew from the race over a week ago, it would take a crafty plan indeed for him to get the nomination at this point.”
Unlikely, James, but possible.
If there is a open convention (which looks likely at this point, although nothing is ever certain in politics), it could turn to anybody. The question is what faction controls the convention; if the establishment, some combination of Edwards-Gephart-Lieberman will probably be nominated…and the Petulant Left stalks out in high dudgeon. If the Petulant Left controls it, the ticket will likely be some combinaton of Clark-Dean-Kerry; the establishment may swallow hard and accept the near-certainty of a drubbing in November for the sake of a show of unity, or they may get tired of the children and stay home for the rest of the year.
The only way there’s going to be an open convention is if Kerry does something soooooooo stupid as to make the Dean rant look like the Gettysburg address.
The simple fact is that Kerry is going to win most of the primaries on tuesday, and the only way Dean can win is if most of the Deaniacs have already voted. They began voting before Iowa, remember?
At this point the only person who could beat Kerry is Edwards and only if he wins South Carolina and comes in a close second everywhere else but Oklahoma, where Clark looks like he’s going to win.
Is there any way we can get Tonly Blair the nomination?
Comment by Eric Lurio — Saturday, January 31, 2024 @ 3:49 pm
jj – After agreeing in advance to accept, Gephardt would be nominated from the floor knowing full well that he can’t win. None of the other candidates would be stupid enough to accept the nomination if it’s a sure loser.
It has to be a brokered convention because that’s how Hillary has orchestrated it to give her the most flexibility. She’s in control and don’t anybody forget it.
Comment by erp — Saturday, January 31, 2024 @ 4:11 pm
Gephardt won’t get the presidential nomination even if there is a brokered convention, but he’d be a smart VP pick for Kerry or (if he can make a comeback) Dean.
Comment by JES — Saturday, January 31, 2024 @ 4:19 pm
Toast time again
PoliBlog has the latest Toast-O-Meter up and running for your perusal. As usual, Steven breaks down the presidential race and sees who’s hot and who’s toast….
Surveying the Democratic Field
WE ALL have our prejudices and perceptions about the Democratic candidates. The following are mine. John Kerry and I actually…
Senator Kerry needs VP running mate with some integrity to offset his lack of it. Hmmmm. I can’t seem to come up with a good, honest name out of the current bunch of availables to recommend.
The big question about Senator Kerry, if he is elected, is whether his wife will be another Hillary Clinton in the White House. OMG, please, no. At least Mrs Heinz-Kerry would be unlikely to make off with government property when they vacate the place.
A good ad for the Republicans would be one of those morphing things where Senator Clinton morphs into Mrs. Heinz-Kerry with appropriate shots of Hillary’s troubling career in the background (health care meetings, Vince Foster, travel office, a pile of records on a night stand, vast conspiracy accusation, the walk to the waiting helicopter, etc.). If the same geniuses who create the Super Bowl ads worked on the political ads campaigns would be infinitely more interesting.
Toast Report
Poliblog’s weekly Toast-O-Meter (Fortified with linkage and Enhanced with bloggage!) can be found here: The Toast-O-Meter (1/31/04 Edition)…
Down to the wire
Make or break time for some of the candidates and time to face reality for most of the rest. Let’s chat, shall we? (Poliblog, a site that needs blogrolling, was most helpful for all this)
Does anybody think that Kerry has faced a real test yet?
The interesting thing to me, is that the present poll position he enjoys comes not only from the fact that Bush has not attacked him yet (look at Dean’s self-immolation to see why), but that none of the other Democrats has made a real effort to attack Kerry’s record. It’s comparatively weak, and sooner or later, the others will realize they have to attack Kerry or lose without a fight.
When the General Election comes, we’re really looking at only one of two situations: A guy with no record (Edwards, Dean) or a guy with a weak record (Kerry, Clark). And there is a real character issue with more than a couple of these guys; what we saw happen with Dean in January could easily happen with some of these others in the summer.
Comment by GDubya — Tuesday, February 3, 2024 @ 9:17 am
Rope A Dope?
Is the Dean campaign engaged in a rope a dope maneuver today? They’re certainly setting the expectation of also ran status. Whether this spin or strategy doesn’t much mater – what matters is how heavy the media momentum for Kerry…
TOAST-O-METER UPDATE
Steven Taylor has the Post-New Hampshire Toast-O-Meter up at PoliBlog….
Trackback by OUTSIDE THE BELTWAY — Saturday, January 31, 2024 @ 11:06 am
How Do You Want Your Eggs?
Just in time for the weekend talking head shows, Steven Taylor has the new Democratic Primary Toast-o-Meter….
Trackback by VodkaPundit — Saturday, January 31, 2024 @ 11:14 am
The Primaries
The tireless Steven Taylor (who desperately needs to hitch a ride out of the South) gives me no reason to write about elections today. He may have forgotten to note, however, that Joe Trippi is a crybaby….
Trackback by Priorities & Frivolities — Saturday, January 31, 2024 @ 12:13 pm
Nice job, as always, Steven.
Comment by Robert Tagorda — Saturday, January 31, 2024 @ 12:13 pm
erp,
Considering that Gephardt withdrew from the race over a week ago, it would take a crafty plan indeed for him to get the nomination at this point.
Comment by James Joyner — Saturday, January 31, 2024 @ 12:36 pm
Robert: Thanks.
erp: I’m speechless.
James: Indeed.
Comment by Steven — Saturday, January 31, 2024 @ 12:38 pm
John Kerry: French non-Toast
Steven Taylor has your weekend edition of the Toast-O-Meter up and running, looking ahead to Tuesday’s seven-state primary.
Trackback by Signifying Nothing — Saturday, January 31, 2024 @ 1:34 pm
Weekly Assessment Of The Democratic Candidates
Steven, of PoliBlog, has his weekly assessment of the seven dwarves is up. The most notable for me — being a Dean hater and all — is that he blew so much money trying to stay competitive in Iowa and…
Trackback by Insults Unpunished — Saturday, January 31, 2024 @ 1:58 pm
http://cayankee.blogs.com/cayankee/2004/01/steven_taylor_h_1.html
Steven Taylor has posted The Toast-O-Meter (1/31/04 Edition), Steven’s weekly assessment of the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. As always it is entertaining and worth your time.
Trackback by CALIFORNIA YANKEE — Saturday, January 31, 2024 @ 2:50 pm
Toast Time
The latest Toast-o-Meter is here for your reading enjoyment.
Trackback by Mark the Pundit — Saturday, January 31, 2024 @ 2:51 pm
“Considering that Gephardt withdrew from the race over a week ago, it would take a crafty plan indeed for him to get the nomination at this point.”
Unlikely, James, but possible.
If there is a open convention (which looks likely at this point, although nothing is ever certain in politics), it could turn to anybody. The question is what faction controls the convention; if the establishment, some combination of Edwards-Gephart-Lieberman will probably be nominated…and the Petulant Left stalks out in high dudgeon. If the Petulant Left controls it, the ticket will likely be some combinaton of Clark-Dean-Kerry; the establishment may swallow hard and accept the near-certainty of a drubbing in November for the sake of a show of unity, or they may get tired of the children and stay home for the rest of the year.
Comment by John "Akatsukami" Braue — Saturday, January 31, 2024 @ 3:02 pm
The only way there’s going to be an open convention is if Kerry does something soooooooo stupid as to make the Dean rant look like the Gettysburg address.
The simple fact is that Kerry is going to win most of the primaries on tuesday, and the only way Dean can win is if most of the Deaniacs have already voted. They began voting before Iowa, remember?
At this point the only person who could beat Kerry is Edwards and only if he wins South Carolina and comes in a close second everywhere else but Oklahoma, where Clark looks like he’s going to win.
Is there any way we can get Tonly Blair the nomination?
Comment by Eric Lurio — Saturday, January 31, 2024 @ 3:49 pm
jj – After agreeing in advance to accept, Gephardt would be nominated from the floor knowing full well that he can’t win. None of the other candidates would be stupid enough to accept the nomination if it’s a sure loser.
It has to be a brokered convention because that’s how Hillary has orchestrated it to give her the most flexibility. She’s in control and don’t anybody forget it.
Comment by erp — Saturday, January 31, 2024 @ 4:11 pm
Gephardt won’t get the presidential nomination even if there is a brokered convention, but he’d be a smart VP pick for Kerry or (if he can make a comeback) Dean.
Comment by JES — Saturday, January 31, 2024 @ 4:19 pm
Toast time again
PoliBlog has the latest Toast-O-Meter up and running for your perusal. As usual, Steven breaks down the presidential race and sees who’s hot and who’s toast….
Trackback by Go Dubya! — Saturday, January 31, 2024 @ 7:56 pm
Surveying the Democratic Field
WE ALL have our prejudices and perceptions about the Democratic candidates. The following are mine. John Kerry and I actually…
Trackback by Citizen Smash - The Indepundit — Sunday, February 1, 2024 @ 11:40 am
Poliblogging
Steven Taylor has this week’s edition of the Toast-O-Meter as well as a link to a column he wrote for the Huntsville Times….
Trackback by Backcountry Conservative — Sunday, February 1, 2024 @ 12:33 pm
Senator Kerry needs VP running mate with some integrity to offset his lack of it. Hmmmm. I can’t seem to come up with a good, honest name out of the current bunch of availables to recommend.
The big question about Senator Kerry, if he is elected, is whether his wife will be another Hillary Clinton in the White House. OMG, please, no. At least Mrs Heinz-Kerry would be unlikely to make off with government property when they vacate the place.
A good ad for the Republicans would be one of those morphing things where Senator Clinton morphs into Mrs. Heinz-Kerry with appropriate shots of Hillary’s troubling career in the background (health care meetings, Vince Foster, travel office, a pile of records on a night stand, vast conspiracy accusation, the walk to the waiting helicopter, etc.). If the same geniuses who create the Super Bowl ads worked on the political ads campaigns would be infinitely more interesting.
Comment by Dennis Slater — Sunday, February 1, 2024 @ 5:30 pm
Toast Report
Poliblog’s weekly Toast-O-Meter (Fortified with linkage and Enhanced with bloggage!) can be found here: The Toast-O-Meter (1/31/04 Edition)…
Trackback by King of Fools — Monday, February 2, 2024 @ 9:49 am
Down to the wire
Make or break time for some of the candidates and time to face reality for most of the rest. Let’s chat, shall we? (Poliblog, a site that needs blogrolling, was most helpful for all this)
Trackback by Obsidian Wings — Monday, February 2, 2024 @ 10:56 pm
Does anybody think that Kerry has faced a real test yet?
The interesting thing to me, is that the present poll position he enjoys comes not only from the fact that Bush has not attacked him yet (look at Dean’s self-immolation to see why), but that none of the other Democrats has made a real effort to attack Kerry’s record. It’s comparatively weak, and sooner or later, the others will realize they have to attack Kerry or lose without a fight.
When the General Election comes, we’re really looking at only one of two situations: A guy with no record (Edwards, Dean) or a guy with a weak record (Kerry, Clark). And there is a real character issue with more than a couple of these guys; what we saw happen with Dean in January could easily happen with some of these others in the summer.
Comment by GDubya — Tuesday, February 3, 2024 @ 9:17 am
Rope A Dope?
Is the Dean campaign engaged in a rope a dope maneuver today? They’re certainly setting the expectation of also ran status. Whether this spin or strategy doesn’t much mater – what matters is how heavy the media momentum for Kerry…
Trackback by Wizbang — Tuesday, February 3, 2024 @ 10:31 am
Computer security recourse: SecureRoot
Comment by Theodosius — Friday, May 21, 2024 @ 6:55 pm