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Friday, October 1, 2004
Instant Polls
By Dr. Steven Taylor @ 6:47 am

Here they are, Kerry Wins First Debate Against Bush, Three Polls Say:

Fifty-three percent of the 613 registered voters who watched the 90-minute debate said Kerry did better, according to a poll by Gallup for CNN and USA Today. Thirty-seven percent backed Bush. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.

The ABC poll of 531 registered voters found 45 percent said Kerry “won,'’ against 36 percent for Bush. The incumbent had support from 50 percent of those viewers before the debate and 51 percent after. Kerry was supported by 46 percent before the event and 47 percent afterward.

CBS’s survey, conducted via the Internet, found that 43 percent of 200 uncommitted voters who watched said Kerry won, 28 percent said Bush was the winner and 29 percent said they tied. CBS said the survey was among voters who indicated they are undecided or who said they might change their mind. The margin of error is plus or minus 7 percentage points, CBS said.

Interesting that in the ABC poll, Kerry won hands down, but his actual numbers didn’t actually move.

I am dubious of these instant internet polls of undecideds, however.

Still, Kerry will be declared the winner–that seems to be the shaping concensus, but I am not sure that it will make a big difference in the polls the way Bush’s win in 2000 over Gore did.

Hat tip: The World Around You.

Filed under: US Politics, 2004 Campaign | |Send TrackBack

Mark the Pundit linked with Disheartening News for Democrats
Outside The Beltway linked with Bush-Kerry Debate I: The Morning After


  1. I am an undecided voter, and I watched the debate last night. John Kerry, in my opinion, was the winner. My husband, who is a diehard Republican, said he thought Kerry won. He just doesn’t believe Kerry can pull off what he is promising. Hubby said, “GW is more realistic and believable.”

    Comment by Cathy — Friday, October 1, 2004 @ 7:11 am

  2. > Hubby said, “GW is more realistic and
    > believable.?

    And that, IMHO, is what this whole election will boil down too. Kerry, while he looked more prepared and seemed to “show a breadth of knowledge” (as I’ve heard quite a few times now), Bush just seemed more realistic.

    Comment by misterhung — Friday, October 1, 2004 @ 7:21 am

  3. Kerry won on style - which is huge at this late point. These two have been staking out their differences for months, and clear alternatives are obvious. So, policy isn’t quite as important. I think that most of the remaining undecideds will be swayed more by style than substance. Kerry’s win may change the dynamic more than the die-hard politicos think.

    Comment by Mark L — Friday, October 1, 2004 @ 8:37 am

  4. Sure it’ll make a difference. Gore’s comeback in the third debate got him from a largish deficit in the polls to overtaking Bush in the end….Gore won the popular vote remember.

    Comment by ericl — Friday, October 1, 2004 @ 11:10 am

  5. Bush-Kerry Debate I: The Morning After
    Tom Bevan of RealClear Politics has his own analysis as well as his usual roundup of the editorial pages.

    I don’t think there is any question that John Kerry helped himself with his performance tonight. Just how much, and how much it may matter in …

    Trackback by Outside The Beltway — Friday, October 1, 2004 @ 11:44 am

  6. Hey i have been rather sketicle of polls especialy if their taken by the liberal left-wing news media you cant trust these scoundrels and especialy after dan rathers little white lie frankly you cant trust any of those reptiles

    Comment by night heron — Saturday, October 2, 2004 @ 8:27 am

  7. Disheartening News for Democrats
    This has to be disheartening news for Democrats. According to Rasmussen, 6% of voters surveyed said the Thursday night debate has changed their minds. However, 3% now say they have decided on Kerry, while 2% have moved to Bush, and…

    Trackback by Mark the Pundit — Saturday, October 2, 2004 @ 11:20 am

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