I have noticed a couple of bloggers who have noted the seeming success in Afghanistan and have wondered how the Democrats will spin it (such as Diggers Realm and Right on Red).

The answer is simple: the Kerry campaign, and I presume the Democratic Party in general, will note that Afghanistan was “the right war at the right place at the right time” and that if Kerry were President we would have Afghanistans, not Iraqs. Indeed, Kerry’s debate message (and a message that is one developed and hones post-convention, btw) is that the real war on terror is in Afghanistan, and that Iraq is a “diversion.”

Setting aside the whole Iraq’s relation to the GWOT thing, I have my doubts that Kerry would have pursued Afghanistan in a manner similar to Bush’s. Indeed, given that all the seemingly necessary condition for Kerry to go to war were present in 1991 with Iraq: UN support, a large coalition and clear aggression, yet he voted against that war. If he wouldn’t have gone into Iraq after the invasion of Kuwait, what credible argument can be made that he would have gone into Afghanistan in 2025?