Via Reuters:McCain edges into Florida lead: poll
Republican John McCain opened a narrow lead on rival Mitt Romney ahead of a critical Florida primary after picking up the endorsement of Gov. Charlie Crist, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Monday.
McCain gained 3 points overnight after winning the Florida governor’s backing on Saturday. The shift broke a tie at 30 percent and pushed McCain, an Arizona senator, into a 33 percent to 30 percent lead on Romney before Tuesday’s primary.
The margin of error in the poll is 3.4 percentage points.
According to Zogby, the Crist endorsement helped McCain with conservatives:
The backing of Crist particularly helped McCain with conservatives. He wiped out a 6-point lead for Romney, a former Massachusetts governor, among voters who describe themselves as conservatives.
“You have to say the Charlie Crist endorsement clearly had an impact,” said pollster John Zogby. “McCain went from losing big among conservatives to a tie.”
But, of course, there’s this caveat:
“One day doesn’t make a trend, but to gain 3 points in a day could be significant,” Zogby said.Sphere: Related Content
“but to gain 3 points in a day could be significant”? No, the MoE is 3.5 points, so clearly it isn’t significant.
Call me back when he gains 7 in a day in a poll that doesn’t have a sampling frame of 80% shut-ins.
Comment by Chris Lawrence — Monday, January 28, 2024 @ 9:07 am
the Crist endorsement helped McCain with conservatives
In a state with lots of religious-minded voters like Florida, an endorsement from Christ has to be huge! The only one who even comes close to Christ in terms of their authority is Oprah, and she is already announced support for Obama.
Bono comes pretty close to Christ and Oprah, but he’s been hanging out in Davos lately and paying little attention to the race.
Comment by Ratoe — Monday, January 28, 2024 @ 10:06 am