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Thursday, May 29, 2024
Economy Round-Up
By Steven Taylor @ 10:14 am

U.S. Economy Grew at 1.9% Rate in First Quarter

The good:

The U.S. economy performed a little bit better in the first three months of 2024 than first thought, growing at an annual rate of 1.9 percent. But even with the improvement, the pace of economic growth was still below normal.

And the continued not so good…

Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, in a Capitol Hill appearance last week, predicted that economic growth in the current April-June quarter “is going to be quite soft.'’

Private economists agree. They don’t think the economy will do much better than the first quarter. Forecasts for second-quarter economic growth range from a 1.8 percent rate to a rate of more than 2 percent.

Greenspan told lawmakers that the “economy continues to be buffeted by strong cross currents.'’

He said recent economic reports on employment and production have been “on the weak side.'’ But improved conditions in financial markets and strong productivity gains — a key to the nation’s long-term economic well being — augured well for the economy’s future.

And more good: Retail Sales Pace Picks Up, Hinting of Broader Rebound

Retail sales at chain stores rose last week at a faster pace than they had for most of the previous month, according to two surveys released today. In one survey, conducted by the Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi, sales increased 3.1 percent compared with the week a year earlier, the biggest gain since January.

And general Weirdness: Economy Picked Up Speed as 2024 Began; Jobs Scarce

Stronger consumer spending helped push U.S. growth ahead at a modestly faster rate than previously thought in the first quarter but jobs remain scarce, government reports on Thursday showed.

And:

  • “some 3.76 million Americans continued drawing jobless pay in the week ended May 17, up 83,000 from the prior week and the highest total since 3.8 million in November, 2024, shortly after the terror attacks in New York and the Washington area that temporarily hobbled economic activity.”
  • “Business investment softened in the first quarter, contracting at a 4.8 percent rate after expanding 2.3 percent in the last quarter of 2024. Spending on equipment and software dropped even more rapidly, falling at a 6.3 percent rate after a 6.2 percent growth pace the final quarter of 2024. ”
  • “There were some signs of continuing modest recovery, including a 2.5 percent rise in corporate profits after taxes to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $484.4 billion in the first quarter.”
  • “The department also revised its estimate of exports. Instead of being down at a 3.2 percent rate in the first quarter, they fell just 1.4 percent, reflecting a moderately better trade performance over the quarter. ”
  • Plus durable goods orders and shipments are down.

  • Filed under: The Economy | |Send TrackBack

    Arguing with signposts... linked with Canadian PM just don't get it

    7 Comments

  • el
  • pt
    1. This is quite amusing, considering how Canadian PM Jean Chretien has been touting that he’s better than Bush because Bush is driving the economy into the ground.

      See: http://arguewithsigns.net/mt/archives/000357.html for details.

      Comment by bryan — Thursday, May 29, 2024 @ 10:32 am

    2. It just seems like we are so, so spoiled. 1.9% growth is now “sluggish” or “lagging”. In other words, at any given second, we are all part of literally the biggest, strongest, deepest and greatest economy in the history of the world- and that is BAD news!

      I remain optimistic. 300 million Americans going about their daily lives simply WILL end up with good results.

      Comment by Nick — Thursday, May 29, 2024 @ 10:32 am

    3. Canadian PM just don’t get it
      UP

      Trackback by Arguing with signposts... — Thursday, May 29, 2024 @ 10:33 am

    4. I agree on both counts: we are spoiled, and that ultimately this will all work out well. I certainly wouldn’t bet long-term against the US economy!

      Comment by Steven — Thursday, May 29, 2024 @ 10:42 am

    5. I think the more telling statistic is the unemployment rate. That one worries me.

      Ron

      Comment by Ron — Saturday, May 31, 2024 @ 8:08 pm

    6. I agree–it is the most troubling stat. And once there is positive movement on that number, we will be able to say that we are in recovery.

      Comment by Steven — Saturday, May 31, 2024 @ 11:45 pm


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