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Saturday, July 29, 2024
By Steven L. Taylor

Via the AP: Iranian leader bans usage of foreign words

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has ordered government and cultural bodies to use modified Persian words to replace foreign words that have crept into the language, such as “pizzas” which will now be known as “elastic loaves,” state media reported Saturday.

The presidential decree, issued earlier this week, orders all governmental agencies, newspapers and publications to use words deemed more appropriate by the official language watchdog, the Farhangestan Zaban e Farsi, or Persian Academy, the Irna official news agency reported.

What a nice, totalitarian move (of course, the French often engage in the same type of behavior).

I would share a few choice foreign words with Ahmadinejad right now, but this is a family blog.

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By Steven L. Taylor

An AP story (Israel pulls out of Hezbollah stronghold) notes the following on a possible peace plan:

Rice’s peace plan seeks an international agreement on a U.N.-mandated multinational force that can provide stability in the region, according to a U.S. official speaking on condition of anonymity because of the sensitive nature of the discussions.

It also proposes disarming Hezbollah and integrating the guerrilla force into the Lebanese army, a commitment to resolve the status of a piece of land held by Israel and claimed by Lebanon, a no-go buffer zone be set up in southern Lebanon, Hezbollah returning Israeli prisoners, and the creation of an international reconstruction plan for Lebanon.

Nothing surprising, although one thing that strikes me: I wonder how many American taxpayers, who thought that it was a good idea for Israel to destroy billions of dollars in Lebanese infrastructure are going to feel when they are asked to foot the bill for much of the reconstruction?

And while I find the notion of an international force in a buffer zone between Lebanon and Israel, I have to wonder how is it going to accomplish the task of stabilization. Will it actively fight Hezbollah if needed?

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By Steven L. Taylor

Via the NYT: Bush and Blair Push Plan to End Mideast Fighting

The rising civilian death toll has placed added pressure on Mr. Bush from European and Arab allies who have called for an immediate cease-fire. But Mr. Bush has said that Israel cannot stop its attacks unless Hezbollah does first.

Of course, a main problem with that formulation is that in an active conflict, neither side is likely to stop fighting of its own accord; indeed, the whole point of a ceasefire agreement is to give both sides a chance to stop fighting without risk of immediately being attacked by the other side when the firing stops.

So, if the goal is a ceasefire, then the notion that one side would stop fighting first doesn’t make much sense.

Of course, it seems that the administration’s view (hope) is that Israel will, in fact, degrade Hezbollah’s military capacities to the point that they will have to quit fighting and then a “ceasefire” can be declared. While I would like to see Hezbollah’s ability to act as an armed group cease to be, I am not optimistic that this is going to happen as the result of the current conflict. Indeed, it seems that this has already been a more difficult task to acheive than was initially believed.

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Friday, July 28, 2024
By Steven L. Taylor

Via Reuters: Single city block hosts world’s longest race

The longest foot race in the world is 3,100 miles, long enough to stretch from New York to Los Angeles. Those who run it choose a different route: they circle one city block in Queens — for two months straight.

The athletes lap their block more than 5,000 times. They wear out 12 pairs of shoes. They run more than two marathons daily. In the heat and rain of a New York summer, they stop for virtually nothing except to sleep between midnight and 6 a.m.

Me no get.

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By Steven L. Taylor

Via the AP: Hezbollah fires rockets deeper into Israel

Meanwhile, Hezbollah announced it used a new rocket, the Khaibar-1 — named after a famed battle between Islam’s prophet Muhammad and Jewish tribes in the Arabian peninsula — to strike the northern Israeli town of Afula. Guerrilla rockets have hit near town before, but this attack was the deepest yet.

Israeli police said five rockets hit outside Afula but caused no injuries.

The strike came two days after Hezbollah leader Sheik Hassan Nasrallah vowed his guerrillas would fire rockets beyond Haifa, Israel’s third-largest city, which has been hit repeatedly in the conflict.

The group did not specify the range of the new rocket or give other details. But Israeli police said it was the first time a missile of this type has hit Israel and that it carried 220 pounds of explosives. That is about the size of the payload of the Fajr-3 rocket that Hezbollah has fired previously, but the Fajr-3 is not believed to have the range to hit Afula.

The heaviest known Hezbollah rocket is the Fajr-5, with a 440-pound payload and a range of 45 miles, able to hit Tel Aviv’s northern outskirts.

Of course, deeper strikes has the potential to cause the Israeli cabinet to reserve its decision and to widen the war. If after all of this pounding Hezbollah still has weapons superior to those used to date, then the degree to which the air and ground assaults to date have been successful will be of serious question.

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By Steven L. Taylor

According to the AP (via CNN’s “Breaking News” banner):

Hezbollah says it has fired a new rocket, Khaibar-1, at the Israeli town of Afula, south of Haifa, the Associated Press reports.

As such, Nasrallah’s promised “Beyond Haifa” stage may have begun.

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By Steven L. Taylor

Via the BBC: US ‘outrage’ over Israeli claims

The US state department has dismissed as “outrageous” a suggestion by Israel that it has been authorised by the world to continue bombing Lebanon.

“The US is sparing no efforts to bring a durable and lasting end to this conflict,” said spokesman Adam Ereli.

Well, on the one hand, it is likely true that the administration hasn’t given an overt endorsement of the action, on the other, it is pretty obvious that there has been a tacit endorsement of the action.

As we all know, and as the story notes

The US has said a ceasefire is only worth it if it can be made to last. Mr Bush reiterated the US’s rejection of a “false peace” on Thursday evening.

The Secretary of State has said similar things on numerous occasions. It is clear that the US is not pressing for a ceasefire as vociferously as could done. Indeed, Dr. Rice has intimated that a ceasefire that would allow Hezbollah to retain significant military capabilities would not be a real ceasefire (or a “lasting peace” as the President notes in the quote above). Ultimately it seems that the US position is that a ceasefire is desirable, just not yet.

As such, it is hard for Israel (and the world) not t o see the whole thing as a big green light from Washington.

The whole fact that the US is resupplying Israel with smart bombs has a certain green-light quality to it, now doesn’t it?

So, I am not sure that State Department is in a credible position to express outrage on this topic.

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By Steven L. Taylor

Via the BBC: Peru ready for Garcia second term

Leaders from Latin America and other regions are arriving in Peru for Alan Garcia’s presidential inauguration.

[...]

Mr Garcia – who was in office from 1985 to 1990 – has vowed to make the fight against poverty his top priority.

Peruvians will be hoping he does not repeat the errors of his first term – 7,000% inflation, a bloody conflict with rebels and corruption allegations.

I suspect.

And this sounds about right:

BBC South America correspondent Daniel Schweimler says many in Peru now see Mr Garcia as a president by default.

In the first round of voting in April he came from behind to sneak into second place and a run-off vote against the inexperienced nationalist former army officer, Ollanta Humala.

Many then voted for Alan Garcia simply because they were frightened of Mr Humala and his radical proposals – others hoped that Mr Garcia would have learnt from experience, our correspondent says.

Humala would likely have been a disaster.

This time in the office should be a tad easier, as Sendero Luminoso no longer presents a threat to the state and the economy is in better shape that it was in the mid-1980s.

I am actually heading to Peru on Monday (more on that later), so too bad that I missed this event.

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Thursday, July 27, 2024
By Steven L. Taylor

The ongoing discussion of surveillance in the war on terror and the question of oversight (for example, from today’s NYT: Administration and Critics, in Senate Testimony, Clash Over Eavesdropping Compromise) reminded me of a something I meant to write a while back.

I have been a skeptic and a critic on the question of how far the executive branch should go in regards to the war on terror, especially in terms of domestic actions, such as surveillance. I have argued that the administration has appeared more than willing to push to envelope in these areas and the the Congress has been overly docile in asserting adequate oversight.

As such, the issue becomes: why worry? After all, the goal is to protect us, yes?

A laudable and popular goal, to be sure.

However, protecting society from the scourge of drug abuse is a laudable and popular goal as well. Yet, we find that in the pursuance of this laudable and popular goal that there has been an increase in the use of paramilitary tactics by police SWAT units seeking to serve warrants on suspected perpetrators of drug crimes. A CATO study by Radley Balko puts the number of raids at 40,000/year. At a minimum there is a legitimate question as to how far we should want, or how much we need, the militarization of police activity. Indeed, as the study notes, even with the increase in the tevchnology and firepower available to he police in the last several decades, like many other expenditures in the war on drugs, it is not the case that drug use has been curtailed.

Beyond the question of whether militarization of the police is good thing, there is the simple fact that some of these raids go awry as police zealously attempt to do the right thing, although perhaps too zealously–see the interactive map of botched raids. There is also this stat from page 43 of the PDF of the report:

Criminologist Peter Kraska says his research shows that between 1989 and 2024, at least 780 cases of flawed paramilitary raids reached the appellate level

The interactive map from the cases detailed in the study show 292 events, including 143 raids on an innocent suspect and 40 deaths of innocents between 1985-2006.

Yes, ultimately we are talking about a relatively small number of events–however, the odds of a citizens being involved in one of these incidences is higher than being involved in a terrorist attack on the US.

I will say that while the Balko study is interesting, it would be more useful if there were systematic statistics regarding abuses.

The issue at hand, however, is that the abuses in question were perpetrated while the state was pursuing goals that were considered worthwhile and were endorsed, at least in a generic sense, by the populace.

The bottom line is twofold: 1) the motivation behind a policy isn’t the test of whether that policy is a good idea, and 2) the people who run the government, like the rest of us, are far from perfect. Both of these factors need to be taken into consideration when deciding how much power that the government ought to have in the war on terror.

A postscript to this discussion is to mention of another example of a laudable and popular goal leading to abuse. In this case, the goal is the rooting out of child pornographers. Alex Knapp, blogging at OTB, noted this Salon piece a little while ago: They called me a child pornographer:

As usual during the trip, we took several photos. Because I forgot my digital camera, I bought a disposable camera at a gas station on the way to the campground. I took pictures of the kids using sticks to beat on old bottles and cans and logs as musical instruments. I took a few of my youngest daughter, Eliza, then age 3, skinny-dipping in the lake, and my son, Noah, then age 8, swimming in the lake in his underwear, and another of Noah naked, hamming it up while using a long stick to hold his underwear over the fire to dry. Finally, I took a photo of everyone, as was our camping tradition, peeing on the ashes of the fire to put it out for the last time. We also let the kids take photos of their own.

When we returned on Sunday, I forgot the throwaway camera and Rusty found it in his car. He gave it to his wife, whom I’ll call Janet, to get developed, and she dropped it off the next day with two other rolls of film at a local Eckerd drugstore. On Tuesday, when she returned to pick up the film, she was approached by two officers from the Savannah Police Department. They told her they had been called by Eckerd due to “questionable photos.”

The entire piece, including the recounted fear of a parent who had to live with the very real possibility that his children would be taken from him if bureaucrats deemed his vacation pictures to be something that they were not, is worth a read and will likely give any parent a knot in their stomach.

The reason we tend to think that expansion of government power is a good thing in these cases is that we assume that the power will only be applied to the bad guys (i.e, drug dealers, child pornographers and terrorists), not the innocent. However, as noted above, the people who run the government aren’t perfect, and mistakes are made. And when mistakes are made, serious consequences are possible.

As such, it hardly seems extreme to think that we need serious consideration of whether a) expanding executive power is necessary and b) if we decide that such an expansion is needed, that power checks and balances be put into place. Further, the above examples illustrate that government error can lead to government abuse, so before powers are expanded, the issue of how they can be abused should be first and foremost in our minds, rather than an afterthought. Like the physician who swears an oath to do no harm, it would be nice if those in government would consider what harm that their good intentions might cause.

I fear that that type of logic is not be applied in Washington on this topic these days.

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By Steven L. Taylor

Since that darn Hezbollah is grabbing all the headlines, Ayman al-Zawahri broke out the ol’ video camera: (via the AP) Al-Zawahri calls for Muslims to rise up

Al-Qaida’s No. 2 leader issued a worldwide call Thursday for Muslims to rise up in a holy war against Israel and join the fighting in Lebanon and Gaza until Islam reigns from “Spain to Iraq.”

That could be while.

And we won’t get into the fact that he wants a particular brand of Islam to rule.

Heck, if they just want to proselytize, the Mormon model is a lot less offensive–no one gets blown up or anything.

I can see it now: two guys from al Qaeda riding bikes around the neighborhood in white short-sleeved shirts and ties, turbans and long beards handing out brochures.

That would certainly be better than waging a terror campaign.

Alas, that route isn’t in al Qaeda’s plans:

He also called for the “downtrodden” throughout the world, not just Muslims, to join the battle against “tyrannical Western civilization and its leader, America.”

“Stand with Muslims in confronting this unprecedented oppression and tyranny. Stand with us as we stand with you against this injustice that was forbidden by God in his book (the Quran),” al-Zawahri said.

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