And they all want to be President! Via Bainbridge.
![]() ![]() |
Information | |
ARCHIVES
April 2012
January 2012 December 2011 November 2011 October 2011 September 2011 August 2011 July 2011 June 2011 May 2011 April 2011 March 2011 February 2011 January 2011 December 2010 November 2010 October 2010 September 2010 August 2010 July 2010 June 2010 May 2010 April 2010 March 2010 February 2010 January 2010 December 2009 November 2009 October 2009 September 2009 August 2009 July 2009 June 2009 May 2009 April 2009 March 2009 February 2009 January 2009 December 2008 November 2008 October 2008 September 2008 August 2008 July 2008 June 2008 May 2008 April 2008 March 2008 February 2008 January 2008 December 2007 November 2007 October 2007 September 2007 August 2007 July 2007 June 2007 May 2007 April 2007 March 2007 February 2007 January 2007 December 2006 November 2006 October 2006 September 2006 August 2006 July 2006 June 2006 May 2006 April 2006 March 2006 February 2006 January 2006 December 2005 November 2005 October 2005 September 2005 August 2005 July 2005 June 2005 May 2005 April 2005 March 2005 February 2005 January 2005 December 2004 November 2004 October 2004 September 2004 August 2004 July 2004 June 2004 May 2004 April 2004 March 2004 February 2004 January 2004 December 2003 November 2003 October 2003 September 2003 August 2003 July 2003 June 2003 May 2003 April 2003 March 2003 February 2003 |
By Steven L. Taylor
And they all want to be President! Via Bainbridge. Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments/Trackbacks (1)|
By Steven L. Taylor
Via the Miami Herald: Ludacris joins elves at Dolphin Mall Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments Off|
By Steven L. Taylor
Joe Biden on Rudy Giuliani: “He only uses three words in a sentence: A noun, a verb, and 9/11.” Sadly, pretty much spot on. h/t: The Debatable Land via OTB Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments/Trackbacks (1)|
By Steven L. Taylor
Via Rasmussen: Stephen Colbert Tops Ron Paul and Dennis Kucinich in Presidential Poll: Given a choice between Colbert running as a Democrat and Republican Congressman Ron Paul, 36% of voters prefer Colbert while Paul attracts 32%. Twenty-one percent (21%) say they’d vote for some other candidate while 10% are not sure.
Let’s face it: that’s kind of funny. Of course, it is also the power of name recognition and that fact one suspects that most people (one hopes) understands that the Colbert thing is a joke anyway. Still, no fun to be the real candidates who are considered joke-worthy enough themselves to be included in the poll in the first place. Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments/Trackbacks (1)|
By Steven L. Taylor
When the government and Halloween meet:
Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments Off|
By Steven L. Taylor
And to think, I tell my students that one of the main problems with social scientific inquiry is the inability to conduct controlled experiments! Too bad I don’t have the budget for this kind of work: Political Scientists Discover New Form of Government. h/t: A&I Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments/Trackbacks (1)|
By Steven L. Taylor
Speaking of bombing Iran, Norman Podhoretz argued on the Newshour last night that opposing such an attack is to be equated with appeasing Hitler (indeed, towards the end of the clip, he specifically cites Munich). The link above has the video and a partial transcript. And again: Podhoretz is a key adviser to the Giuliani campaign on foreign policy matters. Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments/Trackbacks (1)|
By Steven L. Taylor
Via the AFP: Dogs shoot man on hunting trip Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments/Trackbacks (1)|
By Steven L. Taylor
To follow up on the previous post: Via here, we note that 49% is pretty good in terms of recent history, so again, the fact that Hillary is consistently polling in the4 46%-49% shouldn’t be construed as an obvious negative, especially at this stage of the game: Popular Vote Winners, by Percentage, 1960-2004 2004: 53.16% Now, granted, all of the bolded dates had a significant (to varying degrees) third party candidates to siphon votes from one (or both) candidates. Still, at a minimum the notion that Hillary, sans an actual general election campaign, cannot possibly find a few percentage points, is wishful thinking. Certainly is it rather early to be pronouncing sureties about the numbers. Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments/Trackbacks (5)|
By Steven L. Taylor
Pollster Scott Rasmussen just shared this fascinating observation in an interview: When you average the head-to-head matchups with Hillary Clinton vs. any of the Republicans, she’s always getting 46 to 49 percent against any of them. The report on the poll can be found here. Now, some see this as of great significance vis-a-vis Hillary, such as the Influence Peddler who asks Is Hillary a Sure Loser?. Well, no. There are two key reasons. First, 46%-49% is a winning range. Second, the issues isn’t (as we should all be quite aware of by now) the direct head-to-head vote, but the state-by-state vote. One suspects that the anti-Hillary sentiments are over-represented in Red states and under-represented in Blue states. I must confess, I am amazed every single electoral cycle as to the way in which “analysts” like to focus on the overall head-to-head numbers while ignoring the state-by-state numbers. I recognize that state-by-state polling doesn’t exist yet, but the lack of data doesn’t justify pretending like available data are sufficient. The report on the poll highlights the fact that Ron Paul wins 38% against Hillary, which, no doubt, will cause a great deal of joy in the Paulista camps (I can see it now: “See he has 38% support already–just think where he could go if given the chance!”) However, not so fast. First, I would note the title of Rasmussen report (emphasis mine): “Poll Matching Hillary Clinton and Ron Paul Tells A Lot About Clinton, Little About Paul.” Further, the write-up states (emphasis theirs): Among all voters, Clinton attracts 48% support. Among the voters who have never heard of Ron Paul or don’t know enough to have an opinion, guess what. Clinton attracts the exact same total–48% of the vote. So whether or not people have heard of Ron Paul as the challenger, support for Clinton doesn’t change. In other words, the name could have been “Ferderico Bocifitania” and the anti-Hillary needle wouldn’t have much budged. As I said at OTB: Actually, that shouldn’t be a shock. Surely in a head-to-head poll of Hillary v. Any Republican (Ron Paul, John Smith, whomever) the Rep would get somewhere in the high thirties. Wouldn’t that simply demonstrate the baseline GOP vote? Nevertheless, I expect somebody, somewhere in the Paulista camp to argue that these numbers show that Paul is a viable candidate. To which I would reply: yes, like many (most? all?) of the current GOP crop, he is a viable candidate to lose the election in 2008. (I say that as a matter of empirical fact, and not as anything else). Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments/Trackbacks (5)|
|
blog advertising is good for you Visitors Since 2/15/03
|
Powered by WordPress