Strategic Vision has a new Florida poll:
John McCain 27%
Mike Huckabee 20%
Rudy Giuliani 18%
Mitt Romney 17%
Fred Thompson 10%
Ron Paul 5%
Duncan Hunter 1%
Undecided 2%
The MOE is 3%.
It is interesting that so few are undecided. If this poll is at all accurate, Mayor Late State clearly miscalculated and Mitt may end January is big trouble.
Sphere: Related Content
Couple of notes:
The Florida poll was conducted Jan 11-13. Romney got a good bit of exposure due to MI win after this. It will be interesting to see if that had impact.
Also the poll was on a Fri - Sun. Never done any poll work, but I’ve heard that could be an issue.
I don’t think you have the MOE right. The 3% refers to the questions that everybody answers. Note on the questions some have (Republicans only) or (Democrats only). If roughly half the people identify as Republican that would run the MOE up to the 6-8% range for those questions. Since the question you copy from is for Republicans only, I think the MOE is much greater.
Comment by Buckland — Thursday, January 17, 2024 @ 9:56 am
However, I think you are right on with your Mayor Late State analysis. This doesn’t seem to be turing out great for Guiliani, regardless of who is on top.
Comment by B. Minich — Thursday, January 17, 2024 @ 10:23 am
At the top of the poll it states that the “The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.”
The sample size was 1450, so a 3% MOE makes sense, even with the breakout for Reps only (although it does not say what the breakout subsample size was).
Comment by Dr. Steven Taylor — Thursday, January 17, 2024 @ 10:30 am
It will be interesting to see if the Huckster takes a hit because of his insane pledge to initiate a religious-based Constitutional reform and his bizarre equation of homosexuality with beastiality.
This might earn him points with some of more moronic elements of the Republican base, it will likely cost him in Florida’s cities.
It may also energize Jewish voters who could prop up Rudy. McCain will suffer because the closed primary restricts independents and he doesn’t generate much excitement in the Repub rank and file.
Comment by ratoe — Thursday, January 17, 2024 @ 1:47 pm
Despite his egregious insult to the First Amendment, I can live with McCain. The Surge was his idea several years before it became necesssary, after all, as was ending earmarks, even earlier. Hard to hate that.
Comment by Jenda — Thursday, January 17, 2024 @ 10:22 pm
Around The Campaign 2024 Sphere
NOTE: Another in our series of special Election 2024 editions of our popular Around The Sphere link-fest where we offer readers links to weblogs of differing viewpoints — and give you our comments on some of the political issues raised. This ver…
Trackback by The Moderate Voice — Friday, January 18, 2024 @ 2:39 am
[...] These blogs are in the news Request a Trackback Romney Pulling SC, FL Ads According to an AP article, Mitt Romney is pulling his South Carolina and Florida ads in favor of Michigan. Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney has decided to pull his advertising from South Carolina and Florida, in a sign of trouble for a campaign that badly needs … the roundtable - Last Updated - 2 hours ago Request a Trackback Speaking of Giuliani and Florida… Strategic Vision has a new Florida poll: John McCain 27% Mike Huckabee 20% Rudy Giuliani 18% Mitt Romney 17% Fred Thompson 10% Ron Paul 5% Duncan Hunter 1% Undecided 2% The MOE is 3%. It is interesting that so few are undecided. If this poll is … poliblog ™: a rough draft of my thoughts - Last Updated - Saturday January 19 More Blogs… Commentaries Last conservative standing? Professional partisans. Professional partisans. With Fred Thompson out, Sen. John McCain might well be the most consistent conservative left among the major presidential contenders. Unlike former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani or former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, McCain has never taken liberal… opinion - Last Updated - Thursday January 24 More Commentaries… Videos McCain tackles Florida issues cnn.com - video - 3 hours ago Related Stories Giuliani campaigns in Florida cnn.com - video - 3 hours ago McCain Ties Romney To Iraq ‘White Flag’ wlky.com - national news headlines - 2 hours ago Few Votes For Giuliani In New Hamsphire cbs13/cw31: sacramento’s source for breaking news, weather and traffic: national wire - Friday January 25 A look at the 2024 presidential race http://www.theolympian.com — national news - Friday January 25 Story Timeline Mon, Jan 21 Poll: Giuliani trails McCain in NY, Clinton leads Obama newsday.com - world Rudolph Giuliani’s once commanding lead in the race for New York’s Republican delegates has evaporated and he now trails Sen. John McCain in his home state, according to a poll released Monday. Thu, Jan 3 Result sets up Clinton-Obama battle usatoday.com news - top stories For New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, a formidable lead in national polls never translated into a safe standing in Iowa. … Thu, Dec 6 McCain eye on repeating 2024 New Hampshire primary win post-gazette.com - nation/world MANCHESTER, N.H. — Arizona Republican Sen. John McCain usually doesn’t emulate Democratic former President Bill Clinton. Sat, Dec 1 McCain promises to beat Hillary Clinton ‘like a drum’ news/national from azdailysun.com NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, S.C. (AP) — Republican presidential candidate John McCain said Friday that if he wins the party’s nomination he will beat Democratic front-runner Hillary Rodham Clinton “like a drum.” Sat, Nov 17 McCain says he is reluctant to engage in personal criticism of Clinton usatoday.com news - top stories Republican presidential hopeful John McCain on Saturday said he will not follow his rivals’ lead in taking personal shots at … Thu, Nov 15 McCain: Clinton insult not condoned charlotte.com: national politics Republican presidential hopeful John McCain said Wednesday he responded appropriately after a woman used the word “bitch” to describe Democratic rival Hillary Clinton.”She made a comment, I made light of the comment, and then I said very seriously I treated and continue to treat Senator Clinton with respect and I've Wed, Sep 12 Hopefuls stand firm on Iraq arkansas democrat-gazette stories: u.s. / world* Democratic presidential candidates Barack Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton pressed Wednesday for greater troop withdrawals from Iraq, while Republican John McCain sought to win the hearts and minds of voters in favor of staying the course. Mon, Sep 3 Labor Day in Iowa Punctuates Campaign Season npr topics: nation Labor Day has traditionally marked the start of the campaign season in Iowa. This election cycle, however, campaigning started a year earlier. John McCain, Hillary Clinton and John Edwards were among those once again courting voters in the state. Tue, Aug 21 Hil wins cheers, McCain hearts at VFW nydailynews.com - national & world news - ny daily news Hillary Clinton gave respect and won some yesterday from an audience of mostly aging vets - but Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) won their hearts. Mon, Aug 20 Presidential hopefuls disagree on tactics in Iraq ktka stories: national news Senators Hillary Rodham Clinton and John McCain agree new tactics are working in Iraq, but they disagree on what it means. More… Stories Fla. governor to endorse McCain charlotte.com: national politics - 10 minutes ago Florida Gov. Charlie Crist will endorse John McCain, The Associated Press has learned, a move likely to give the Republican presidential candidate a critical boost ahead of Tuesday's primary.The Arizona senator is locked in a tight race with Mitt Romney, with Rudy Giuliani and Mike Huckabee trailing. All sought Crist's Florida senator to endorse McCain charlotte.com: national politics - Friday January 25 Florida Sen. Mel Martinez will endorse John McCain on Friday, The Associated Press has learned, a move likely to give the Republican presidential candidate a crucial boost with the state's Cuban-Americans just days before the primary.The decision is a blow to Rudy Giuliani, the former New York mayor in a function footerJump(szWhere) { location.href=’/'+ szWhere + “.html”; } Home | Widgets | Terms | Privacy Copyright 2024 CDR Networks _uacct = “UA-2278587-1″; urchinTracker(); [...]
Pingback by Connecting News, Commentaries and Blogs at NineReports.com - — Saturday, January 26, 2024 @ 6:58 pm