The Democrats have sent Al Gore and the Reps have sent Cheney.
![]() ![]() |
Information | |
ARCHIVES
April 2012
January 2012 December 2011 November 2011 October 2011 September 2011 August 2011 July 2011 June 2011 May 2011 April 2011 March 2011 February 2011 January 2011 December 2010 November 2010 October 2010 September 2010 August 2010 July 2010 June 2010 May 2010 April 2010 March 2010 February 2010 January 2010 December 2009 November 2009 October 2009 September 2009 August 2009 July 2009 June 2009 May 2009 April 2009 March 2009 February 2009 January 2009 December 2008 November 2008 October 2008 September 2008 August 2008 July 2008 June 2008 May 2008 April 2008 March 2008 February 2008 January 2008 December 2007 November 2007 October 2007 September 2007 August 2007 July 2007 June 2007 May 2007 April 2007 March 2007 February 2007 January 2007 December 2006 November 2006 October 2006 September 2006 August 2006 July 2006 June 2006 May 2006 April 2006 March 2006 February 2006 January 2006 December 2005 November 2005 October 2005 September 2005 August 2005 July 2005 June 2005 May 2005 April 2005 March 2005 February 2005 January 2005 December 2004 November 2004 October 2004 September 2004 August 2004 July 2004 June 2004 May 2004 April 2004 March 2004 February 2004 January 2004 December 2003 November 2003 October 2003 September 2003 August 2003 July 2003 June 2003 May 2003 April 2003 March 2003 February 2003 |
By Steven L. Taylor
The Democrats have sent Al Gore and the Reps have sent Cheney. Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments Off|
By Steven L. Taylor
Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments Off|
By Steven L. Taylor
In a two-way trial heat, excluding Nader, Bush/Cheney would defeat Kerry/Edwards 51 percent to 45 percent among likely voters. Last week Bush led 48 to 47 in the two-way contest. Hat tip: Paul at Wizbang. Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments/Trackbacks (4)|
By Steven L. Taylor
Via the NYT: Colorado: As the Race Tightens, Enthusiasm for a Ballot Proposal Wanes In mid-September, a poll by Ciruli Associates, a nonpartisan policy research firm in Denver, found that 51 percent of voters surveyed supported Amendment 36. By last week, support had fallen to 36 percent, with 49 percent saying they were opposed. The firm’s president’s, Floyd Ciruli, predicted that Amendment 36 would lose by a two-to-one margin. I have always thought that this idea was one that would sound good at first, and then fade in the minds of voters. This seems to be the pattern in question. I certainly think that it is a bad idea for the state. Hat tip: Betsy Newmark. Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments Off|
By Steven L. Taylor
The The Glittering Eye and Paul at Wizbang are trying to grok the meaning of the latest polling trends. gEye thinks that he sees periodic jump for Kerry in as a result of Sunday talk damage control by Camp Kerry. Perhaps, but on balance the long-term trend is for tracking polls to favor the Democrats over weekends, so that may be what he is seeing. He also thinks that the over trend is Bush. Of course, as I noted the other day, while the RCP graph makes the Kerry-Bush gap look large, the fact of the matter is that that scale is so small it amplies that gap. Paul looks at the WaPo tracking poll and thinks that Kerry’s lead was the result of the initial al-QaQaa story and the susequent flip back to Bush illustrates the expiration of that story’s power. Again, given that the Kerry surge started as weekend numbers were included, that may be the explanation. Further, the variation is so small (the biggest gap in the last week has been 3 points) it may be that that is nothing more than MOE variations. While it is likely that the al-QaQaa story is affecting voters, one wonders how many it can actualyl sway. The bottom line for any and all analyses of these numbers: the margins are so small, I am not that any given variation that is within the MOE can be considered significant–nor can it likely be explained by any specific event or issue. Update: Another thought occurred to me in regards to the WaPo tracking poll: the Kerry surge actually starts well before the explosives story. Further, given that it is three-day tracking poll, the full effect of the explosives story doesn’t register in the poll until later in the week. Really, by the time the story was fully in the consciousness of the news-consuming pubic, the numbers tunr a bit more Bush-ish. No, I don’t think that the surge Kerry got early the week of the 25th is attributable to the explosives story. Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments/Trackbacks (7)|
By Steven L. Taylor
ABC’s The Noteproffers the following possible impacts: 4. Even poker-faced Republicans believe in this equation: OBL tape = more focus on “who will keep you safer?” = Bush advantage = Bush win. That pretty much covers it, expect what I suggested yesterday: OBL tape + Kerry’s debate insistence that WoT=OBL+Bush 2002 “not concerned” remark=advantage Kerry. I think that #4 list and 6a are actually the more likely, but would not dimiss the “helps Kerry” possibility entirely. Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments/Trackbacks (1)|
By Steven L. Taylor
Via the LAT: Un ‘Sabado Gigante’ for Bush, Kerry Tonight, President Bush and Democratic Sen. John F. Kerry will be guest stars on “Sabado Gigante” (Giant Saturday), a variety show that airs across the United States on the Univision cable network. It holds the distinction of being the longest-running television program in the Americas. Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments Off|
By Steven L. Taylor
Here’s the latest round of new linkage to PoliBlog. Each has been added to The List. If you have linked me, but have not received a reciporcal link, just drop me an e-mail. Want a link at PoliBlog? Here’s my link policy. Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments Off|
By Steven L. Taylor
Writes Jack Shafer in Slate:Al-Qaqaa Reconsidered – The competition throws stones at the New York Times scoop That there are two sides to every story is not something that would automatically occur to the man who reads only one newspaper. If you’ve followed the Al-Qaqaa news only in the New York Times, where it broke, you might believe that the United States committed an unspeakable blunder in failing to guard the 380 tons of high explosives it knew Saddam harbored in the Al-Qaqaa weapons complex. The Times’ Oct. 25 scoop and its Oct. 27 and Oct. 29 follow-ups give that impression. But if you’ve consumed the Washington Post alongside the Times, your certainty about an American miscue would have evaporated by now. The Post’s Oct. 27 catch-up piece and its Oct. 29, Page One naysayer, “Munitions Issue Dwarfs the Big Picture,” portray the missing munitions as an overplayed story. The bottom line: always remember to read more than one newspaper a day. Indeed. Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments/Trackbacks (1)|
By Steven L. Taylor
Kerry Has One-Point Lead Over Bush – Reuters Poll Kerry led Bush 47-46 percent, well within the margin of error, in the latest three-day national tracking poll. Bush and Kerry were tied at 47 percent on Friday. In re: rookie voters: The Massachusetts senator had a 48-41 percent edge among newly registered voters, an unpredictable group that could be a wild card on Tuesday depending on how many actually turn out to vote. And in re: the battleground states: Bush gained ground in some of the critical swing states that will decide who accumulates the 270 electoral votes needed to win, leading in six of the 10 battleground states surveyed in a series of Reuters/Zogby state tracking polls. Filed under: Uncategorized | Comments Off|
|
blog advertising is good for you Visitors Since 2/15/03
|
Powered by WordPress