The PoliBlog

The Collective
Friday, August 24, 2007
By Dr. Steven Taylor

To further the discussion from earlier in the week (here and here), here’s the latest from the Governor of CA on the proposal to split CA’s electoral vote up based on congressional districts: Schwarzenegger cool to electoral reforms

Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger gave a chilly reception Thursday to a GOP-backed plan to change the way California awards electoral votes in presidential elections — a proposal critics say could tilt the outcome in favor of Republicans.

There is little doubt that the move is one that would help Republicans, as it is basically certain at this stage of the game that CA will go for the Democrats in 2008. Here’s the breakdown of how the districts went in ‘06:

9 of its 53 congressional districts are represented by Republicans. A Republican presidential candidate could lose the state overall but still pick up 19 electoral votes if he or she finished first in each of those districts.

And here’s how Bush did in ‘04 in CA, based on districts:

During the 2004 election, President Bush was handily defeated in California but carried 22 of the state’s districts. If the proposed change had been in effect then, he would have been awarded 22 of the state’s electoral votes with Democrat John Kerry winning the rest.

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Filed under: US Politics, 2008 Campaign | |

1 Comment

  1. Here’s another thought - how close does an election have to be to warrant a recount?

    If we’re looking at districts individually, they would probably always be close by current standards.

    Would we be counting and recounting in each district?

    This system seems to me to have too many moving parts, too many places for chaos to go to work.

    Comment by Captain D. — Friday, August 24, 2007 @ 6:13 pm

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