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Wednesday, February 24, 2010
By Steven L. Taylor

Via Politico:  Exclusive: White House privately plots 2012 campaign run.

While this is news, after a fashion, the language of the headline (“Exclusive” “privately” and “plots”) makes it sounds rather dramatic.  I would question the exclusivity of the story, as I heard something similar on ABC’s This Week on Sunday.

And one would expect that the moves would be private, and while plotting may be an an accurate verb, it has a dramatic/almost sinister connotation.

Based on information in the story, this is not all that unusual:

Even though the planning is still very preliminary, the campaign is likely to launch in just over a year. President Bill Clinton opened his second presidential campaign in the March after his first midterm congressional elections, and President George W. Bush opened Bush-Cheney ‘04 a month later in the political cycle.

If those campaigns launched in the third years of the terms in question, the planning for the launch must have taken place in the second year.  Goodness knows that our election campaign are insanely long (and continue to get longer).

After posting this, I see that James Joyner treats the story appropriately.

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Filed under: 2012, US Politics | |
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5 Responses to “And This Surprises Anyone? (Obama 2012)”

  1. BREAKING: Obama Running in 2012 Says:

    [...] Steven Taylor does a content analysis of Politico’s reporting, deconstructing the [...]

  2. ZachPruckowski Says:

    Now, I’m not a pundit, but it seems to me that if we look at the 2008 election, it seems like most of the candidates announced they were running in January or February of 2007, with the earliest announcements coming in December of 2006. That would imply that if Obama were to not run, then other Democratic candidates would be announcing in December 2010 or January-February 2011. So we’d naturally expect an announcement before February 2011. How far back do we have to go to find a President who didn’t seek more than 4 years? Literally Rutherford B. Hayes, in 1880*. So we’d naturally expect Obama to announce he’s seeking reelection. Nothing to see here, move along.

    * - Truman (1952), Coolidge (1928), and Teddy Roosevelt (1908) all served 1.5 terms (TR ran again in 1912), Lyndon Johnson (1968) and Chester A. Arthur (1884) sought reelection and lost their primaries.

  3. B. Minich Says:

    Obama, running for President? Whoa! This is the shocker of the DAY!!!

  4. Joshua Says:

    I visited the James Joyner URL. Thanks for the link!!
    Indeed this is not unusual.

    This is Joshua from Israeli Uncensored News

  5. Twitter Roundup | Porch Dog Says:

    [...] Obama insidiously plots his 2012 takeover of the White House. (PoliBlog) [...]

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