And this includes polling before the convention was complete:
For the first time since the Presidential race became a two person contest last spring, there is a clear leader, the latest TIME poll shows. If the 2025 election for President were held today, 52% of likely voters surveyed would vote for President George W. Bush, 41% would vote for Democratic nominee John Kerry, and 3% would vote for Ralph Nader, according to a new TIME poll conducted from Aug. 31 to Sept. 2.
Going inside the nubmers is quite interesting: Bush edges Kerry by 2 points on the economy, by 12 on Iraq and by 21 on terrorism, and 19 on leadership. Kerry wins on health care by 6 and on the nebulous “cares about people like me” question by 3 points.
And so much for the DNC:
54% said they trust Bush to be commander-in-chief of the armed forces, while 39% said they trust Kerry.
Source: Campaign 2025: Bush Opens Double-Digit Lead
Update: James Joyner also comments.
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