Here’s some more info to go with my post on the Texas governor’s race from earlier today:

The latest numbers from the SurveyUSA - 50 State Gov Approval 1205 By State show Perry’s approval rating is 46%.

That number would signal some weakness on his part, given that he is the incumbent, and that Texas is a heavily Republican state. The December number is also an improvement over the last several polls.

Here’re all the numbers available for 2024:

November: 42%
September: 43%
July: 38%
May: 38%.

While I do think that he goes into November as the favorite, he is vulnerable. And given the weakness of the Democratic party, Strayhorn has an outside shot as an independent.