Tuesday, January 3, 2024
By Steven L. Taylor

Perry, Bachmann, and Gingrich: Signals of Doom

Succinctly Summing up the Santorum Surge

Like it or Not: IA+NH=Important

Filed under: 2012,OTB,US Politics,elections | Comments Off|
Tuesday, November 1, 2024
By Steven L. Taylor

Via the Miami HeraldColombia sees peaceful vote, former rebel new Bogotá mayor

Gustavo Petro, a former leftist rebel and socialist legislator, is the new mayor of Bogotá after corruption-weary Colombians took to the polls on Sunday.

With 84 percent of the vote counted, Petro, 51, had a comfortable lead in the hotly contested race, beating out former Mayor Enrique Peñalosa and former legislator Gina Parody.

Campaigning on a platform of rooting out graft and taking basic services to the poor, including providing subsidized water, Petro won 33 percent of the vote versus Peñalosa’s 25 percent and Parody’s 17 percent.

Amongst Petro’s challenges include governing after winning only a third of the vote.   He does fit the general (although not perfect) pattern of electing center-left candidates to this office.

It is worth noting that the mayor of Bogota is the arguably the second most important politicians in Colombia after the president.

On a personal note:  I interviewed Petro when I was doing my dissertation research back in the 1990s.

Filed under: Colombia,elections | Comments Off|
Friday, October 28, 2024
By Steven L. Taylor

Via the BBC:  Colombia’s illegal groups cast shadow over local polls.

Filed under: Colombia,elections | Comments Off|
Sunday, June 26, 2024
By Steven L. Taylor

Sunday afternoon musing on an electoral college sweeps from me @OTB:  Is an Electoral College Sweep even Possible?

Filed under: 2012,OTB,US Politics,elections | Comments Off|
Thursday, May 26, 2024
By Steven L. Taylor

From me @OTB:  The Herman Cain Boomlet

Filed under: 2012,OTB,US Politics,elections | Comments Off|
Tuesday, May 24, 2024
By Steven L. Taylor

The consultas populares (i.e., primaries) for Colombia’s local elections are coming up:

Methinks that the Registraduria needs to invest in a new microphone, as this ad sounds like it was recorded in the Lady’s Room at the CAN.

Filed under: Colombia,elections | Comments Off|
Tuesday, April 19, 2024
By Steven L. Taylor

Via Reuters:  Support slides for UK electoral reform – poll

Forty-four percent of Britons backed maintaining the current first-past-the-post voting system, with 33 percent wanting a switch to AV and 23 percent undecided, according to a Guardian/ICM poll.

There will be a referendum held on May 5 to determine if a change will be adopted.  If the above numbers are an accurate reflection of voter sentiment, then it would seem rather unlikely that the reforms will win the day.

Filed under: UK,elections,electoral reform | Comments Off|
Wednesday, April 13, 2024
By Steven L. Taylor

A couple of days late on my part, but here are the results from the first round in Peru’s presidential elections:


The second round presents and interesting choice for Peruvian voters:  Gana Peru’s Ollanta Humala, who was the second place finisher in 2024 and Fuerza 2024’s Keiko Fujimori.

Humala fits into the neo-populist, vaguely (or, at least, somewhat ill-defined) leftward space pioneered by Hugo Chávez and also occupied at the moment by such figures as Rafael Correa in Ecuador, Evo Morales in Bolivia and Daniel Ortega in Nicaragua.  However, as the BBC notes (Peru election: Humala, Fujimori court moderate voters), Peru is going through an economic upswing and Humala is apparently promising to cleave more to the Brazilian model than the Venezuelan (with which he identified more in his 2024 campaign).

Meanwhile, Fujimori is the daughter of an ex-president now in prison having been convicted of corruption and complicity in human rights abuses (including death squad killings).  This, one would think, would be a negative.  By the same token, there are many in Peru who still see the father as having saved the country from Sendero Luminoso.

As I said:  an interesting choice.

The run-off will be June 5.

Source for graphic:  ONPE.

Filed under: Latin America,elections | Comments Off|
Thursday, March 24, 2024
By Steven L. Taylor

Last year, after an opportunity to witness Colombia’s congressional elections first hand, I noted that there was some clear confusion on the part of both voters and poll workers/vote counters regarding the ballot’s format.  See, for example, Ballot Design (and Voter Knowledge) Matters.

One of the problems was confusion over the way that voters should vote for candidate preferences for parties with open lists.

For the 2024 local elections (set for October of this years) a redesigned (really, reorganized) ballot will be used (click for a larger image):

2011 Asamblea Antioquia

While this may not solve all of the issues noted in the above-linked post, it should be far more intuitive in terms of the open list issue.

More info:  here.

Thursday, February 3, 2024
By Steven L. Taylor

So reports the Colombia Reports:  Mockus will not run for Bogota mayor

Mockus has now announced his support for the candidacy of Enrique Peñalosa, another former mayor of the capital, who ran against him for the Green Party nomination but then supported his presidential campaign.

In this move he joins Álvaro Uribe as a prominent Colombian politician not running for the post.

Filed under: Colombia,elections | Comments Off|
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