In a two-way trial heat, excluding Nader, Bush/Cheney would defeat Kerry/Edwards 51 percent to 45 percent among likely voters. Last week Bush led 48 to 47 in the two-way contest.The poll finds the race closer among registered voters. Forty-eight percent of registered voters would vote for Bush and 44 percent would vote for Kerry. One percent would vote for Nader. In a two-way race, 48 percent would vote for Bush/Cheney and 45 percent would vote for Kerry/Edwards. The worse news for Kerry: in the last lap of the race, the number of %u201Cpersuadables%u201D is falling. Now, 9 percent of registered voters say they haven%u2019t made up
their minds, down from 13 percent last week. And just 6 percent of likely voters say they haven%u2019t decided.
Hat tip: Paul at Wizbang.
Ok so the last Newsweek poll (10/21 -10/22 or 3 days before Al Qa Qaa) had Bush +2.
This Newsweek Poll (27th thru 29th or days 3,4, and 5 of Al Qa Qaa) have Bush +6 with Bush going up 2 and Kerry down 2.
Margin of error, smargin of error, Kerry went backwards.
Comment by Paul — Saturday, October 30, 2024 @ 3:57 pm
RCP trends
I’ve been looking at the most recent set of poll compilations from Real Clear Politics. Clearly, the current trends are not particularly good for Kerry and he’ll have to do something to change that. But I’ve been looking at something…
Trackback by The Glittering Eye — Saturday, October 30, 2024 @ 4:22 pm
RCP trends
I’ve been looking at the most recent set of poll compilations from Real Clear Politics. Clearly, the current trends are not particularly good for Kerry and he’ll have to do something to change that. But I’ve been looking at something…
Trackback by The Glittering Eye — Saturday, October 30, 2024 @ 4:22 pm
What this shows, once again, is that Bin Laden is outsmarting us, and I’m getting sick of it. Bush is his dream president, and he’s trying to get Bush reelected because Bush has done more to help Islamic extremism than any world leader in history. Bush invaded an Arab nation that had nothing to do with al-Qaeda, the greatest boon to Islamic extremist recruiting in history.
But Americans don’t pay attention to issues. Which is why I am terrified for the future of this democracy.
Comment by whatever — Sunday, October 31, 2024 @ 4:15 am