Here’s another way that Romney will be called a RINO: Another Problem for Romney: Climate Change
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By Steven L. Taylor
Here’s another way that Romney will be called a RINO: Another Problem for Romney: Climate Change By Steven L. Taylor
Palin and the press are in mutual love, despite protestations to the contrary. from me @OTB: Palin and the Press: Symbiosis Defined By Steven L. Taylor
From me @OTB: The Herman Cain Boomlet By Steven L. Taylor
From me @OTB: By Steven L. Taylor
Today’s edition: a Crist for Biden swap: Silly Veep Speculation of the Day. By Steven L. Taylor
Via the Honolulu Advertiser: Hawaii Poll: Djou leads Democratic rivals in congressional race. The numbers:
The winner will be awarded via plurality. As such it makes for an excellent example of how a party can damage itself by making a nomination error, which in this case means having two Democrats in the race. It is pretty clear that the district in question is solidly a majority Democratic district, but two candidate are splitting said vote. Of course, I believe the system in question for the special election was one of self-nomination, making it difficult for the party (very broadly defined) to stop from making an over-nomination error. It is worth noting that in the poll there are still 13% who are undecided, not an insignificant number in such a race. Two issues strike me: 1) The likelihood is that if Djou wins the seat, it will likely be a brief sojourn for him in the House, as the probabilities would be be that he would lose re-election in November against a single Democratic nominee. While he would have the status of an incumbent at that point, which certainly helps, he will only have had about five months to establish himself. 2) If the Republicans do take the seat, it will be treated with great drama, as it is the home district of President Obama.1 Some recent HIO1 elections: 2008: Abercrombie (D) 77%, Tataii (R)19% 2006: Abercrombie (D) 69%, Hough (R) 31% 2004: Abercrombie (D) 63%, Tanonaka (R) 34% 2002: Abercrombie (D) 73%, Terry (R) 26% A Republican, Pat Saiki, did hold the seat for two terms (the 100th and 101st Congresses, 1987-1991). Try out our free E20-591 and latest SK0-003 training courses to get high flying success in final HP0-S32 & testking 1Y0-A15 exams; mcts dumps is also very useful tool.
By Steven L. Taylor
“I won’t receive him [Santos]. What are we going to do if he comes to Caracas? Walk down the street hand in hand?”—Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez on a potential visit from a hypothetical President Juan Manuel Santos of Colombia. Makes for an entertaining image, if anything. Bonus retort: ‘”Colombia could ‘elect Mother Teresa’ and there would still be problems with Chavez, Santos, who heads the pro-Uribe La U party, said today on W Radio.” Indeed. By Steven L. Taylor
The Economist has an interesting piece (in English) about Colombian presidential candidate (and leader in some polls), Antanas Mockus: The maths of a Green revolution. Some interesting observations:
Governing would be a challenge given the current composition of the recently elected Congress. He has a chance in the election due to the following:
No candidate can win this elections without the public being convinced that the basic security policies will remain in place. Mockus is promising not just Uribe’s “democratic security” but, rather “democratic legality” as well—a delineation that will appeal to many Colombians. There is little doubt that along with Uribe’s successes have come some serious questions and scandals, such as the ongoing investigation of wiretapping and other questionable activities by the DAS1 as well as the false positives scandal2 (amongst other things3 ). It is worth noting that Mockus’ main competition, Juan Manuel Santos, was Defense Minister during the height of the false positives scandal. A major electoral obstacle is as follows:
He also has some financing challenges. And, as a parting aside, I had forgotten about the following:
A potentially useful skill for a president, I suppose. By Steven L. Taylor
RCN reports: Mockus se ubica primero en la intención de voto para elecciones de mayo. Again, my inclination is to take this with a grain of salt, but the trend is has been pretty steady insofar as Mockus has gained in every poll since he allied with Sergio Fajardo. |
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